Wednesday, 15 February 2017

Rockin' in the Free World?

Since November, I've noticed a trend. The American presidency is once again being referred to as the 'Leader of the Free World.'

This is an expression with a long history. It first emerged in the Second World War, when American and British propaganda proclaimed that the conflict was a grand struggle between the 'free world' and the tyranny of Nazism. This did rather gloss over the fact that the largest contribution to defeating Nazi Germany was the USSR, a totalitarian dictatorship, led by a paranoid megalomaniac. In a fairer world, someone at the time would have pointed out the similarities between Joseph Stalin and Adolf Hitler...

But, as the victorious Allies looked down on the ruins of the conquered Nazi state, the expression lingered. Within a few years, it became obvious that the Soviet promises of open and fair elections in Central and Eastern Europe were worthless. By 1949, the countries of Western Europe and North America had created a military alliance, NATO, to oppose Soviet expansionism. But the world was much bigger than the North Atlantic, and so the 'free world' became shorthand for US allies. And, by virtue of his position as the elected head of state in the USA, the President of the United States became known as the Leader of the Free World.

To push the claim of the United States to take global leadership in opposition to the communist bloc, the phrase was heavily used in American foreign policy rhetoric. The American allies who fought in Vietnam were even grouped together as the 'Free World Military Forces.'

And in a way, it made sense. The lives of those behind the Iron Curtain, or in the People's Republic of China, were demonstrably less free than those in, say, the UK, the USA or France. They lacked the freedom of expression, freedom of political organisation, freedom of religious belief, and freedom based around impartial justice, than many took for granted.

Awkwardly, though, the Free World often contained many countries that were not free. Military dictatorships, strongman democracies, and various illiberal regimes were often counted amongst the Free World. But at face value, it was a vaguely useful way of dividing the world.

But then suddenly the distinction became irrelevant. In a short, two year period, the entire apparatus of communist rule in Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union spectacularly collapsed. Years of repression and economic stagnation sunk the communist regimes of Eastern Europe. In China, it only clung on because of the regime's willingness to use brute force to crush the opposition. When Mikhail Gorbachev dissolved the Soviet Union, on Christmas Day 1991, it seemed as if the whole world was free.

At this point, the use of the rhetoric dropped off sharply. Partly this was because of the fact that, if we were all democracies now, and history had indeed ended, as Francis Fukuyama confidently proclaimed, then there was no need to distinguish between the free and unfree world. We were all free. Also, the expression 'Leader of the Free World' had been adopted by elements of the anti-capitalist left, and was used as a term of scorn and derision against the United States. Far better to drop it.

As a replacement, we hear far more about the 'international community,' or 'the West.' Bland expressions, designed to convey a sense of a united world, and to take the edge off of America's claim to lead that bloc of countries.

But the term has survived. A quick check on Google Trends shows a spike in interest in November 2008, when Barack Obama was elected to the US Presidency. But that jump is nothing compared to the number of people who Googled it last November, when Donald Trump was coming in to office.

For if there was ever anyone unqualified to be described as the Leader of the Free World, it is Donald Trump. The United States, for better or for worse, is the sole global superpower. It is the most influential country in the Western world, both in terms of hard power and soft power.

But Trump isn't fit to be the Leader of the Free World, as he openly flouts the values it used to claim to stand for. That's fine. He isn't interested in it anyway. 'America First' is his battle cry. He doesn't really care about the rest of the planet.

All the hand wringing from politicians, and the return of the phrase, seem to be more of a realisation that the United States is retreating from its active role in the world. The last time that happened, the planet was plunged into a world war. But that doesn't justify the return of a misleading phrase, to describe a job that the President of the USA doesn't really have.

The final words go to Neil Young. If this is the 'free world,' then it needs an awful lot of work:


Sunday, 5 February 2017

Petition to Restore John Major as Prime Minister

Seeming as this is the age of the protest petition, I'd like to test one of my own.

John Major should be returned as Britain's Prime Minister.

Now before you laugh, hear me out.

Did you know that he won the 1992 general election with 14 million votes? That is the most that any British political party has ever taken! No one has ever gained more votes than John Major has. His mandate to lead was unprecedented, and remains unbeaten since.

On top of that, it was the highest turnout for a very long time. Not since February 1974 had turnout been higher, and before that you had to go all the way back to 1959 to see a time when more people had come out to vote. Millions of people who had long ago lost interest in the political system, and had no interest in voting, came out to show their support for John Major's vision of Britain.

It has been twenty years since the British people last had the chance to express their opinion on him at the ballot box. Yes, they may have decisively rejected him on that occasion. But things have changed since then. The government and the Conservative party are not the same, and neither is the country or the world.

In light of this feeling that things have changed, it is only right that the British people should be given a fresh chance to express their will, especially given John Major's unprecedented mandate in 1992.

John Major on the campaign trail in 1992, amassing a record vote and high turnout. Should definitely still be Prime Minister...

To clarify, I don't really think that John Major should be brought back as PM (Although I reckon he'd do a decent job of it). But hopefully, it underlines the absurdity of the following claims:

- The number of votes amassed in one election or vote doesn't mean that is a permanent mandate.
- Increasing turnout is desirable, but also doesn't mean that is a permanent mandate.
- Subsequent votes or elections that represent a changed mandate or wish are fine, and indeed normal and natural.

The next time you hear them, point out that John Major should still be Prime Minister. And then explain why. See how that goes down...